USDA's July WASDE cut world wheat production by about 4 million tonnes to 769.3 Mt. US output was reduced to 49.6 Mt on record-low plantings.
EU and UK production was lowered 1.5 Mt to 139.5 Mt, and Moldova's drought has cut yield prospects.
Lower production in the US, EU and Moldova tightens global wheat balances and supports feed wheat prices.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 180 past bullish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.7%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.