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USDA's August report raised world wheat consumption more than production, cutting ending stocks, while raising global production to 798.28 mln t. Higher output was seen in Ukraine, Kazakhstan and Australia, offset by cuts in the EU and US, yet wheat futures still fell 0.4-1.2%.
Global stocks tightening modestly was not enough to lift prices, so the market remains heavy and buyers can expect continued cheap wheat unless EU or Black Sea supply disappoints.
ukragroconsult.comAug 13, 2024After 1,006 past bearish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 138 past bearish report events, KWHEAT moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.4%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, CORN moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
