
Wheat prices fell 2.5-4.7% after U.S. planting accelerated and EU and Russian crop forecasts rose. SovEkon raised Russia's 2023/24 wheat forecast by 1.2 million tons to 88 million tons, and Russian May exports were strong.
Higher Russian and EU crop estimates and fast export pace weigh on global wheat prices, making wheat cheaper as a feed alternative.
After 138 past bearish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -2.9% to +2.4%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.