USDA expects U.S. milk production to rise in both 2021 and 2022 due to growing cow numbers, and has lowered its Class III and all-milk price forecasts. An economist says export demand could offset part of the production increase, while high feed costs squeeze producers.
Rising milk output with weaker cheese demand pressures dairy prices, while high feed costs narrow producer margins; stronger exports would be needed to support prices.
After 273 past bearish report events, MILK moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.4%), and -1.4% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, CORN moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.