
USDA's June WASDE and Crop Production reports lowered new-crop 2020-21 soybean ending stocks to 395 million bushels, below the lowest pre-report analyst estimate, mainly due to a higher crush forecast. Old-crop corn ending stocks rose 5 million bushels to 2.103 billion, and new-crop corn stocks rose to 3.323 billion.
World wheat ending stocks were seen as bearish.
The tighter-than-expected U.S. soybean stocks outlook supports soybean and meal prices, while larger corn stocks and bearish world wheat stocks weigh on those markets.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.