
DTN reported that soybeans jumped after USDA's October WASDE set the soybean yield at a surprisingly low 49.8 bushels per acre, leading to lower-than-expected ending stocks. USDA also cut corn and wheat demand because of slow exports, river problems, and the effects of global recession and high interest rates.
Corn was described as mostly a dud, with ending stocks slightly above expectations.
The yield surprise tightens soybean supply and supports soybean meal and oil values. Lower corn and wheat demand estimates keep those markets under pressure.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.