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StoneX's recap of the April 9 WASDE says US soybean exports were raised on record first-half shipments, while crush was reduced. Global soybean production was raised 1.4 million tons to 363.2 million, mainly from Brazil, and global ending stocks rose 3.1 million tons.
The report expects higher soybean oil prices as new renewable fuel capacity comes online.
Expected soyoil strength from biofuel demand supports soybean oil prices and crush margins. Higher global soybean stocks limit upside for soybeans.
stonex.comLindsay FagerApr 9, 2021After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
