StoneX's recap of the June WASDE lists soybean changes, including a 15 million bushel cut to the 2020/21 crush and higher 2021/22 ending stocks of 155 million bushels. It also notes that soybean oil exports were reduced while domestic use rose.
Global 2021/22 soybean ending stocks were raised 1.5 million tons.
Higher U.S. soybean stocks and a lower crush are bearish for soymeal and soyoil demand. Feed buyers should expect easing meal costs in the near term.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.