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USDA's October WASDE and Crop Production reports projected record soybean production of about 4.69 billion bushels at 53.1 bpa, with 2018-19 soybean ending stocks at 885 million bushels. Corn yield was estimated at 180.7 bpa, production at 14.8 billion bushels, the highest yield on record.
Record soybean output and large ending stocks are bearish for soybeans and meal, while corn ending stocks were viewed as bullish given tighter-than-expected supply. Feed buyers should expect ample soybean meal supply.
dtnpf.comOct 11, 2018After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
