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USDA reports released January 12 showed a US average soybean yield of 49.1 bushels per acre, 0.4 below the prior forecast and trade expectations. December 1 soybean stocks came in 22 million bushels below trade expectations at 3.157 billion bushels.
The soybean crush forecast was raised by 10 million bushels, while export forecasts were cut by 65 million bushels.
Lower yield and stocks below expectations tighten the US soybean balance sheet, which supports soybean prices, while the lower export forecast partly offsets this.
doi.orgTodd Hubbs, Hubbs, ToddJan 1, 2018After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 250 past neutral report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
