
USDA's September WASDE cut the 2019 U.S. corn yield to 168.2 bushels per acre and production to 13.799 billion bushels, while soybean yield fell to 47.9 bpa and production to 3.633 billion bushels. Corn and soybean ending stocks estimates were mixed in their implications for prices.
Lower U.S. production estimates tighten the new-crop feed grain and soybean supply, supporting corn, soybean and soymeal prices. Bearish corn stocks offset part of the effect.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.