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USDA's July WASDE raised its 2019 U.S. corn production estimate to 13.875 billion bushels, above the June figure and trade expectations, and left yield at 166 bushels per acre. Old- and new-crop corn ending stocks came in bearish, while soybean ending stocks were viewed as supportive.
USDA also flagged an updated ENSO forecast showing El Nino ending.
A larger corn crop and bigger carryout pressure corn prices, while the smaller soybean outlook and weather risk from the end of El Nino support soybean and feed prices.
feedstuffs.comBen PotterJul 11, 2019
proag.comJul 12, 2019After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
