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ADM Investor Services summarized the July 2025 WASDE as somewhat supportive, with corn 2025/26 ending stocks down 90 million bushels and 60 million below expectations. Soybean ending stocks rose 15 million bushels, slightly above expectations, while soybean oil biofuel use was raised sharply for 2025/26 and wheat production was 15 million bushels above expectations.
Corn is supported by the smaller stocks, while the large soybean oil biofuel increase supports soyoil demand even as soybean stocks rise.
admis.comMark SoderbergJul 11, 2025After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
