
USDA's July report cut 2023/24 corn ending stocks 145 million bushels to 1.877 billion, while new-crop corn stocks came in near 2.10 billion, below trade estimates. Soybean old-crop ending stocks were trimmed to 345 million bushels and new-crop stocks were projected at 435 million.
Tighter-than-expected corn and soybean stocks support prices, though the market is skeptical of the higher usage figures and anticipates higher yields later.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.