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ADM Investor Services' October overview said the USDA October report was bullish for corn, soybeans and wheat, with yield and acreage estimates below trade expectations. It also cited recession talk, a stronger dollar, lower energy prices, China demand and Ukraine export disruptions.
Lower USDA crop estimates point to tighter corn, soybean and wheat carryouts, supporting grain prices, while a stronger dollar and weaker energy prices offset some of that support.
admis.comADMIS Research TeamOct 25, 2022After 1,040 past bullish report events, CORN moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 114 past neutral report events, SBO moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.4%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
