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USDA's quarterly stocks report showed Sept. 1 corn stocks of 1.760 billion bushels, 84 million below pre-report estimates, and soybean stocks of 342 million bushels, slightly below expectations.
Wheat stocks came in at 1.986 billion bushels, 13 million above expectations.
A smaller-than-expected corn stockpile signals tighter old-crop supply and firmer feed grain prices, while the soybean shortfall supports the soy complex. Wheat's surplus is mildly bearish for feed wheat alternatives.
admis.comMark SoderbergSep 30, 2024After 1,040 past bullish report events, CORN moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
