
The April 2024 WASDE cut U.S. corn ending stocks by 50 million bushels to 2.122 billion, while raising U.S. soybean ending stocks 25 million bushels to 340 million. Wheat ending stocks rose 25 million bushels to 698 million.
Global corn and bean stocks were also updated.
Higher U.S. soybean and wheat stocks are bearish for prices, while the corn stock reduction is supportive. Market participants watch these balance sheets for the season's price direction.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, CORN moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, SOY moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 146 past bearish report events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.