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Soybean futures had one of their largest daily losses ever on June 17, 2021, after USDA raised U.S. soybean carryout and forecast rains. Corn fell the daily limit after USDA left Brazil's corn crop unchanged and raised U.S. export estimates less than expected.
Talk that the Biden administration could lower the biofuel mandate also weighed on soyoil.
A larger U.S. soybean carryout signals ample supplies, and weaker soyoil on biofuel policy talk lowers the value of crush. Corn's limit-down move reflects expectations of ample supply, lowering feed costs for buyers.
admis.comSteve FreedJun 17, 2021After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 146 past bearish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
