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The weekly SaskCanola outlook says the July WASDE did not look bearish for soybeans, with old-crop sales cancellations continuing for a third week. Forward soybeans and new-crop soybean oil fell to 2022 lows, while canola disappearance trailed last year's pace and supplies were tight.
Tight canola supplies and firm crush margins support canola meal prices, while weaker soyoil reduces vegetable oil support. Buyers should watch August US yield prospects, which could drive a rally given low ending stocks.
saskcanola.comWritten By SaskOilseedsJul 18, 2022Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 146 past bearish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
