
USDA's June oilseed balance raised 2021/22 world oilseed production by 2.17 million tonnes to 599.04 million, mainly on larger Brazilian and Argentine soybean crops. China cut vegetable oil imports due to COVID lockdowns and high prices, with palm imports forecast down 500,000 tonnes to 4.5 million.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine also disrupted oilseed logistics.
Lower Chinese vegetable oil imports reduce global demand for palm, soy and rapeseed oil, while larger South American soybean supplies add meal and oil availability, pressuring oilseed prices.
After 96 past bearish report events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.6%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 146 past bearish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.