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USDA's November WASDE lowered US soybean production due to lower yields, despite raising corn production by 1.1 Mt. Russian wheat production was raised to 74.5 Mt, while EU wheat was cut by 1 Mt to 138.4 Mt, and global wheat ending stocks were reduced.
The soybean production cut is supportive for soy complex prices. Lower EU wheat output and reduced global wheat stocks tighten wheat supply, although the Russian increase partly offsets this.
krishijagran.comAbhijeet BanerjeeNov 10, 2021
ukragroconsult.comNov 10, 2021
bloomberg.comKim Chipman, Michael Hirtzer, Elizabeth ElkinNov 9, 2021After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 146 past bearish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The same-day WASDE cut US soybean production against expectations of an increase, tightening supply and boosting the soy complex including meal.
