
The USDA GAIN report cuts Argentina's 2020-21 soybean output by 1 million tonnes to 50 million, citing dry weather and delayed planting. Exports are forecast down 1 million tonnes to 7 million, and crush is reduced by 1.5 million tonnes to 41 million.
A smaller Argentine crop and lower exports tighten global soybean and meal supply, supporting soybean prices. The lower crush also reduces meal output, which can support meal prices.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.