Loading…
The USDA's March WASDE cut its forecast for Argentine 2017-18 soybean production by 7 million tonnes, or 13%, to 47 million tonnes, citing persistent dryness and heat during flowering. The crush estimate was lowered only 1.5% to 43 million tonnes.
A much smaller Argentine crop reduces global soybean and meal availability, supporting prices for feed protein, while the modest crush cut means meal supply tightens less than the bean cut implies.
world-grain.comMatt NoltemeyerMar 14, 2018After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 114 past neutral report events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.4%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
