EU rapeseed prices reached US$568 per tonne on average in early November, the highest monthly level since February 2023, while imported US soybeans in Rotterdam were about US$439. OIL WORLD cut 2024/25 world rapeseed production to 75.4 million tonnes, 4.4 million lower year on year.
A tighter world rapeseed balance and a widening premium over soybeans point to higher rapeseed and meal prices, and the report signals that further increases are needed to ration demand.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 250 past neutral report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.