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The USDA's December 2020 oilseed estimates show global oilseed production rising, led by soybeans, with soybean oil and palm oil production up. Global ending stocks have fallen for three years, and vegetable oil stocks dropped about 11.7%, indicating consumption is outpacing production.
Falling ending stocks signal a tightening global oilseed balance that supports oilseed meal and oil prices. Buyers should note that supply still sits above the multi-year average, which limits how far prices can rise.
zmp.deDec 12, 2020After 563 past neutral report events, SOY moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 114 past neutral report events, SBO moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.4%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
