
Indonesian crude palm oil output reached 2.9 million tons in April, up 27% year on year but down 5% from March, and domestic stocks fell to 1.31 million tonnes from 2.3 million. Malaysian exports rose about 9% in the first half of May, and CPO prices in Rotterdam rose about 5.5% since early May.
CONAB projects Brazil's soybean crop at 113 million tons, up 18.4%.
Tighter Indonesian palm oil stocks and firmer export demand support palm oil prices, while a larger Brazilian soybean crop points to ample soymeal supply later in the year.
After 149 past bullish report events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 114 past neutral report events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.4%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.