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Crude palm oil recovered to 765 dollars per ton CIF Rotterdam after an early-November fall. Malaysia is expected to raise its biodiesel blend from B7 to B10 around December, and USDA raised the US 2016/17 soybean crop forecast while trimming crush.
Higher Malaysian biodiesel use would absorb about 800,000 tonnes of palm oil, tightening exportable supply and supporting prices. A larger US soybean crop with lower crush points to more soybean meal availability, which is bearish for meal.
greenea.comNov 29, 2016After 149 past bullish report events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Report of Malaysia's expected B7-to-B10 biodiesel blend increase around December plus CPO price recovery signals added domestic demand that could support a rally into Dec 1.
