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Grain futures closed lower for the week after the November WASDE showed larger inventories despite smaller U.S. yields. USDA cut the soybean yield to 52.1 bushels per acre, a bushel below October and below trade expectations, while China's revised statistics were incorporated into the global figures.
Higher inventories outweighed smaller U.S. yields, pressuring grain and oilseed prices. Uncertainty over Chinese data adds volatility to the outlook for demand and stocks.
realagriculture.comBrennan TurnerNov 9, 2018After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Grain futures closed lower the week of the November WASDE as larger-than-feared inventories and weaker demand outweighed the smaller U.S. yields, which fits the week's corn decline.
