
Malaysian palm oil futures closed up 5.17% at 3,985 ringgit a ton, a three-session high. The rally tracked soyoil after USDA reported lower-than-expected US soybean plantings and June 1 stocks.
Palm exports for June fell 6.9% according to Intertek.
Lower US soybean supply and tighter stocks support vegetable oil prices, and palm rises in step with soyoil. Weaker Malaysian exports add to the upward pressure.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 149 past bullish report events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Palm closed up 5.17% on July 3 tracking soyoil after USDA reported lower-than-expected US soybean plantings and June 1 stocks, directly driving the move via a vegetable-oil supply shock.
Palm oil rallied over 5% tracking soyoil after the USDA report, confirming the soyoil surge and cross-market spillover.