
CBOT September corn hit a three-month high on July 1, 2020, after USDA reported 92.0 million acres planted, about 5 million below the March forecast and the biggest March-to-June drop since 1983. Forecasts for hot, dry weather during pollination added support, and large fund net short positions left the market open to short-covering.
The sharp acreage cut reduces expected US corn supply, and weather-related yield risk during pollination supports feed grain prices. Fund short covering could extend the rally in the near term.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.