
The Rosario grains exchange trimmed its 2021/22 Argentine soybean harvest forecast to 48.8 million tonnes from 49 million. It raised its corn estimate to 55-56 million tonnes and cut soybean planted area by 200,000 hectares.
Farmers are shifting toward corn because of better margins and dry weather.
A slightly smaller Argentine soybean crop and a shift to corn tighten export availability of soy products and modestly support soybean meal and oil prices. The change is small, so the price impact is limited.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.