
MARS raised its 2025 EU soft wheat yield forecast to 6.05 t/ha from 6.04 t/ha, citing strong expectations in southern Europe. It also lifted barley to 5.23 t/ha, trimmed rapeseed to 3.17 t/ha, and nudged grain maize up to 7.46 t/ha, while warning dry weather threatens northern EU yields.
A higher EU wheat and barley crop estimate increases exportable supply and is bearish for feed grain prices, although dryness in France and the Benelux limits the downside.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.