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Canola futures rallied after the November USDA WASDE cut US soybean and corn yields, slashing soybean ending stocks by about 34.5% to 190 million bushels and corn stocks by 21.5%. Canola rose nearly $10 per tonne in its January contract on the spillover.
An analyst warned that demand could eventually crack and push prices lower.
Lower US soybean and corn stocks tighten global oilseed and feed supply, supporting canola, soymeal and corn values for feed buyers. The warning of a demand crack suggests the rally may be vulnerable.
grainews.caGFM Network NewsNov 13, 2020After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
