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Global soybean supplies are already high and expected to grow in early 2025, with Brazil's harvest estimated at 169 million metric tons starting in January. Economist Joe Janzen notes that Brazilian soybean acreage has grown by three to four million acres per year for nearly two decades.
Expanding Brazilian supply and rising global stocks are bearish for soybeans and soybean meal, which keeps feed protein costs under pressure. Strength in corn relative to soybeans may persist as a result.
agrinews-pubs.comTom DoranDec 31, 2024After 788 past bearish report events, SOY moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, SBM moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, CORN moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
