Loading…
Purdue analysts discussed the USDA June report, which projects soybean oil biofuel use up 26% from 2020 marketing year. Soybean ending stocks remain tight, at under 3% of usage for 2020 and about 3% projected for 2021.
Most analysts expect planted acreage to exceed the USDA's original estimate.
Biofuel demand now makes soybean oil and soybeans more sensitive to biofuel policy, and higher-than-expected acreage would add supply and pressure prices. Downside price risk is building in both corn and soybeans.
agrinews-pubs.comErica QuinlanJun 30, 2021After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
