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Jerry Klassen notes live cattle futures near record highs and November feeders near $220/cwt, about $20 below the October 2014 record. Corn is near $6.27/bu nearby, and USDA projects 91.0 million acres of US corn planting for 2023.
Expected average yields in US corn and Canadian barley could support feeder upside of $25-30/cwt by fall as coarse grain supplies look burdensome. Strong basis and high corn prices weigh on feeding margins.
grainews.caJerry KlassenMar 30, 2023After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 227 past bullish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.5%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Published on the move date, it describes live cattle near record highs and strong feeder futures, which signals bullish sentiment, though the corn-driven outlook is more background than a catalyst.
