
Malaysian palm oil futures edged up 0.17% to 4,222 ringgit a ton on Feb 4, tracking gains in Dalian vegetable oils after two sessions of declines. A Reuters survey showed Malaysian end-January stocks were expected to fall, ending a 10-month rise, as exports jumped.
India's January palm oil imports rose 51% to a four-month high as refiners bought at a discount to soyoil.
Expected stock declines and strong Indian buying tighten the near-term palm supply picture and support prices. Palm's discount to soyoil is pulling demand away from soyoil, which keeps the vegetable oil complex supported.
After 149 past bullish report events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 146 past bearish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Palm tracked Dalian higher, with a Reuters survey showing Malaysian stocks falling for the first time in 10 months as exports jumped, which is a bullish supply/demand signal.