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USDA's latest outlook puts 2024/25 US oilseed production at 131.2 million tons, slightly higher on cottonseed. Soybean oil export projections were raised by 500 million pounds to 1.1 billion, and the soybean price forecast was cut to $10.20 per bushel.
A lower soybean price forecast and higher soybean oil exports shift the balance between meal and oil values, with cottonseed supply also rising.
market-tracker.inDec 11, 2024After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 250 past neutral report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
