The USDA raised its forecast for soybean oil used in biofuel production in the 2023-24 marketing year. The revision was published on January 12, 2024.
A higher USDA estimate of biofuel soybean oil use tightens the soybean oil balance sheet and supports soybean oil and soybean prices.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.