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USDA's August report raised the 2024 US corn crop by 47 million bu to 15.147 billion, with a record yield of 183.1 bpa, and raised new-crop exports to 2.30 billion bu. The soybean crop was raised 154 million bu to a record 4.589 billion, 120 million bu above expectations, with the yield at a record 53.2 bpa.
Record US soybean and corn output above trade expectations adds supply that weighs on meal and feed grain prices, although higher export demand partly offsets the bearish effect.
admis.comADMIS Research TeamAug 16, 2024After 1,102 past bearish report events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, SOY moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, SBM moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
