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ING's review of the May WASDE found 2024/25 US corn output falling over 3% to 14.86 billion bushels on a 4% acreage cut to 90 million acres. Corn and wheat ending stocks came in below expectations, while US and global soybean ending stocks were higher than expected.
Lower corn and wheat stocks support feed grain prices, while the bigger soybean stock build pressures soybeans and soybean meal. Buyers should weigh firmer corn costs against softer soy-based feed ingredients.
think.ing.comWarren PattersonMay 13, 2024After 1,040 past bullish report events, CORN moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, SOY moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, SBM moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
