
ING's Warren Patterson said the October WASDE was largely constructive, with US corn 2022/23 ending stocks cut to 1.17 billion bushels from 1.22 billion. Global corn output was lowered by 3.8 million tonnes, and US soybean ending stocks were unchanged.
Corn and wheat balance sheets tightened, though US corn stocks were still slightly above expectations.
Tighter US and global corn and wheat balance sheets support prices. Unchanged soybean stocks also provided support, although the market had expected larger reductions.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.