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USDA again cut global soybean production by 8.7 million tons, with reductions for Brazil (-5 MMT), Argentina (-1.5 MMT) and Paraguay (-1.8 MMT). Global soybean ending stocks were lowered to 92.8 MMT, and global demand was reduced by 5.8 MMT on softer Chinese demand.
The report was mildly supportive for corn and wheat, and CBOT soybeans rose above $16 a bushel for the first time since June.
Cumulative global soybean production cuts of about 21 million tons tighten the balance sheet and support soybean and soymeal prices. Lower Chinese demand partly offsets the supply tightening.
think.ing.comWarren PattersonFeb 10, 2022After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
