
USDA cut global soybean production by about 9.2Mt and inventories by 6.8Mt on dry South American weather, both beyond market expectations. US corn production was raised about 53m bushels, and US ending stocks were 47m bushels above what the market expected.
Global wheat supplies were little changed.
Larger-than-expected South American soybean cuts tighten global supply and support soybean prices, while higher US corn stocks pressure corn values.
After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.