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USDA's August 2025 WASDE cut the US soybean acreage estimate by 2.4 million acres to 80.1 million, the smallest since 2019. USDA also raised the yield forecast to a record 53.6 bushels per acre.
The acreage cut surprised analysts and drove a soybean price rally.
A sharply smaller planted area tightens US soybean supply and supports prices, even with record yields. Soymeal rallied on separate factors while soybean oil stayed flat.
soygrowers.comAug 14, 2025After 747 past bullish report events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, SBM moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 114 past neutral report events, SBO moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.4%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
