
New-crop November soybean futures closed above $12 per bushel after the May WASDE raised demand estimates. The report showed higher crush and rising soybean oil use, and old-crop July futures also climbed to a two-month high.
Higher domestic crush and vegetable oil demand tighten the balance sheet and lift soybean and meal values. Energy market strength also supports the complex.
After 747 past bullish report events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, SBM moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.