
USDA's Prospective Plantings report showed US farmers intend to plant 83.5 million acres of soybeans in 2025, down 4.1% from last year and the smallest since 2020. Corn acres rose 4.7 million to 95.3 million as farmers favored corn on better insurance prices.
Projected returns for both crops are negative.
Lower expected US soybean acres tighten the new-crop supply outlook and support soybean prices, while higher corn acres add supply pressure on corn. Feed buyers should weigh a smaller soy crop against larger corn availability.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.