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USDA's July 2025 WASDE raised soybean oil biofuel consumption and raised crush to a record 2.54 billion bushels. Soybean futures fell to multi-month lows and soymeal to multi-year lows.
Projected 2025/26 ending stocks rose 15 million bushels to 310 million.
Higher ending stocks and record crush add meal supply, pressuring soybean and soymeal prices. Stronger soybean oil use supports oil values.
soygrowers.comJul 14, 2025After 788 past bearish report events, SOY moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, SBM moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
