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The September Grain Stocks report raised 2020/21 soybean ending stocks by 81 million bushels to 256 million, forcing USDA to revise its October WASDE. The October update lifted U.S. soybean production 80.8 million bushels to 4.2 billion bushels on higher planted area and yield, and soybean prices fell sharply for both the old and new crop years.
Higher old-crop soybean stocks and a larger new crop shift the balance toward surplus, which lowers soybean meal and oil values and reduces the cost of protein for feed buyers.
fb.orgShelby MyersOct 12, 2021
thefencepost.comAmerican Farm Bureau FederationOct 14, 2021After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 146 past bearish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
