
USDA's August Crop Production and WASDE reports projected record corn and soybean yields and above-trend spring wheat yields. Planted corn acreage fell to 90.7 million acres, cutting production to about 15.15 billion bushels, and December corn futures closed up on the day at $4.01.
Large yields keep supplies ample for feed buyers, but the lower corn acreage and reduced ending stocks limit downside for corn prices.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.